USDA: Grocery food prices will increase in most categories in 2024 (2024)

The rate of food inflation for food at home is expected to slow as the year goes on, but prices in most categories will still rise.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture has released its forecast for 2024 that shows all food prices are expected to increase 2.5% while food-at-home prices are predicted to go up 1.6%.

Between January and February, the Consumer Price Index for food at home rose just 0.1% and was still 1% higher than February 2023.

Prices for eight food at-home categories increased between January 2024 and February 2024, dropped for six categories, and remained flat in one category.

Beef and veal prices were virtually unchanged while the cost of poultry and fish and seafood dropped 1.3% and 0.7%, respectively. It was the third straight month the price of fish and seafood decreased.

Retail egg prices were up 8.4% in February 2024 but were still 17% below the cost a year ago when the egg-laying flock was significantly reduced.

Prices rose by at least 0.5% in three other food categories last month: sugar and sweets (0.9%), cereals and bakery products (0.6%), and fats and oils (0.5%).

Beef and veal, eggs, and sugar and sweets are expected to increase the most in price for all of 2024. Sugar and sweets are forecasted to go up 5.8% while egg prices could increase as much as 4.7%. Beef and veal prices are projected to increase 2.7% this year.

Cost increases are also expected for fats and oils (4.7%), cereal and bakery (1.3%), and poultry (0.5%).

The price for fish and seafood, however, is expected to drop 1.7% in 2024.

USDA: Grocery food prices will increase in most categories in 2024 (2024)

FAQs

USDA: Grocery food prices will increase in most categories in 2024? ›

Food prices are expected to continue to decelerate in 2024 compared to recent years. In 2024, all food prices are predicted to increase 2.2 percent, with a prediction interval of 1.0 to 3.5 percent.

Why is there a food shortage 2024 list? ›

Factors like environmental challenges, labor shortages, and more could pose a risk to the availability, quality, and affordability of certain spices, dairy products, eggs, seafood, grains, fresh produce, and meat and poultry.

How much is a loaf of bread in 2024? ›

Bread now costs over $2 per pound — $2.03, to be exact, as of January. Last January, the same pound cost just $1.89 for a year-over-year increase of 7.7%. A standard loaf of sliced white bread weighs 20oz, which means a loaf costs about $2.54, so $20 can buy you just shy of eight loaves.

What is the current inflation rate for 2024? ›

On the basis of these inflation forecasts, average consumer price inflation should be 3.1% in 2024 and 1.9% in 2025, compared to 4.06% in 2023 and 9.59% in 2022.

What is causing the rise in food prices? ›

Why is food so expensive? Food prices have risen steadily since 2020 thanks to a combination of factors, including inflation, labor costs, the supply chain and the war in Ukraine. These challenges won't be resolved in 2024 but the economic outlook and overall inflation are improving.

Why are supermarket shelves empty in 2024? ›

We're expecting even more trouble with not having enough food in 2024 because of things like climate change and problems in different areas. Many of the products Britons use could be affected by floods and droughts caused by the climate crisis.

Why is there a tomato shortage in 2024? ›

Extreme weather events are impacting tomato crops, affecting the production of various tomato-based products. Independent grocers should prepare for potential shortages in tomato-related items.

Why is butter so expensive in 2024? ›

The dairy market is expected to see continued strong demand for butter, which saw average US prices come in at $2.6294 per pound for January 2024, Rabobank stated. Consumer trends around healthy fats are also contributing to strong demand for butter, Fuess highlighted.

How much was a loaf of bread in 1970? ›

The Price of Bread
YEARCost of 1 lb. of Bread
1960$0.23
1970$0.25
1980$0.50
1990$0.75
5 more rows

What is the price of a loaf of bread in the 1950s? ›

Question: M In 1950, a loaf of bread cost $0.12 and today it costs $2.37 on average.

What prices are going up in 2024? ›

The U.S. Department of Agriculture has released its forecast for 2024 that shows all food prices are expected to increase 2.5% while food-at-home prices are predicted to go up 1.6%. Between January and February, the Consumer Price Index for food at home rose just 0.1% and was still 1% higher than February 2023.

What is the food inflation rate in 2024? ›

The all-items Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of economy-wide inflation, increased 0.4 percent from March 2024 to April 2024 and was up 3.4 percent from April 2023. The CPI for all food increased 0.2 percent from March 2024 to April 2024, and food prices were 2.2 percent higher than in April 2023.

How bad will inflation be in 2025? ›

The Bankrate promise

The largest share (35 percent) say inflation could reach that target by the end of 2024, but those odds were only slightly higher than the percentage of economists who expect 2 percent inflation by the end of 2025 (29 percent) or the end of 2026 (29 percent).

Are grocery stores price gouging? ›

Notably, consumers are still facing the negative impact of the pandemic's price hikes, as the Commission's report finds that some in the grocery retail industry seem to have used rising costs as an opportunity to further raise prices to increase their profits, which remain elevated today.

Why are eggs so expensive in 2024? ›

March 25, 2024, at 5:55 p.m. Egg prices are at near-historic highs in many parts of the world as the spring holidays approach, reflecting a market scrambled by disease, high demand and growing costs for farmers.

Will groceries ever go down? ›

According to officials with the US Department of Agriculture, 2024 could be the year it happens, at least by a little bit. Last week, the agency released its Food Price Outlook for the new year. In the report, USDA officials predict that grocery store prices will fall by . 4%, after seeing a 5% increase in 2023.

What is causing the food shortage? ›

Conflict, economic shocks, climate change and soaring prices for food and fertilizer are all combining in a perfect storm to create a hunger crisis of unprecedented proportions. Right now, in some of the hungriest places around the world, there just isn't enough food to feed the population.

What is the food industry outlook for 2024? ›

As of 2024, revenue in the food market amounts to $10.07 trillion, with the market expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.53% annually through 2028. The food market's largest segment is confectionery & snacks, with a market volume of $1.77 trillion.

What food items are going to be in short supply? ›

Food Items That Could Soon Be More Expensive and Harder to Find...
  • Eggs. In 2023, egg prices surged due to the highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreak, a contagious viral disease among birds. ...
  • Wheat & Flour. ...
  • Rice. ...
  • Chicken. ...
  • Beef. ...
  • Cooking Oils, Seed Oils, & Olive Oil. ...
  • Food Shortages in 2024.
Mar 30, 2024

What should you stock up on for food shortage? ›

Food Ideas That Keep on the Shelf

Canned fruits, vegetables, beans, meats, fish. Canned juices, broths and soups. Shelf-stable "boxes" of juices and milk.

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